43 Comments

Great screenshot! It's so obvious, yet, yet... Try showing it to a pro-vaxxer and hear their replies.

Expand full comment
author

I thought if all else fails, I'll start printing out giant posters of this and start handing it out or start sticking it to walls or even pay people to go ask their pediatrician to correctly label this graph if they recommend vaccination for their children.

Expand full comment

If you do, please share these posters here so can all pitch in!

Expand full comment

So, what do you think is happening? Are the tests detecting the virus or the vaxx? Are the illnesses and deaths from the virus or from vaxx injury? Joel Smalley's article on New South Wales is illustrative. How is there suddenly a wave of infection in a country that is very closed and has very little to no viral spread in the community? The same thing happening with dramatic effect in Mongolia when they started jabbing people. Incredible.

Expand full comment
author

I don't know for certain and I have to be careful about what I can say because I am preempting a purge of Substack posts and users who weren't clear enough in their support for vaccinations in the next few months. Have been burned before on Twitter and I would like to help end this pandemic if I can get people whose minds are focused on things unrelated to answer these and other questions I will pose later.

I think the vaccination is linked in some way to disturbing the equilibrium of a population that's reached some kind of quasi herd immunity but the specific way in which it does this is hard to understand without underlying case data and infections and transmissions and genome sequences. I think we can expect more people to worry about this problem soon though, as double vaccinated get used to being miscategorized as unvaccinated, they might wake up. Innate immunity, reactivation, attracting people who are risk, these are all factors that can't be deconstructed easily.

Expand full comment
author

Not just because the vaccines being deployed are different, but also because the underlying population may have a different baseline seropositivity and susceptibility. For example, many places had a whole inactivated virus vaccine and most others had spike protein based vaccine. They could nevertheless have similar effects on the body and that can't be ignored without a proper study but it's impossible to get the current scientific establishment to even entertain such a possibility.

Expand full comment

It's interesting that you mention a purge. I just tried to post an article by the bad cat on Fakebook. It was blocked immediately for "adult sexual solicitation", and I've been restricted for 29 days. I literally have been out of Fakebook jail for about twenty-four hours. Last week, I posted a Stalin meme (also from the bad cat) that they flagged for "nudity or sexual activity". A month ago, I tried to post an article by Joel Smalley. I was blocked, tagger for "nudity or sexual activity" and I was restricted for a week.

I only use Fakebook to communicate with family and some friends. I have no reach. I posted fourteen articles today that were far more damaging to the Covidians (myocarditis, cancers, why they really are pushing jabs for kids). I commented on a few CDC posts. But this article by the bad cat was too much.

Given all the garbage on Fakebook, I'm getting more than a little angry. Maybe on of Berenson's benefactors can start some action against Fakebook. They flag posts that contain data or analysis they don't like and allow actual sex trafficking to continue.

Expand full comment
author

We are running out of time, and I fear that persons using this platform will out of naivety (of what's coming) cause the entire platform to be purged of all content like has happened on LinkedIn, Twitter and Youtube.

I just have to do all that can be done before that happens and I fear it will happen in months if not weeks because of the pace of things developing and people on the skeptical side not fully understanding what's happening but I don't blame anyone, just have to go straight for the jugular so that everyone is safe before they pull the plug.

Expand full comment

You think substack is about to do a purge?

Expand full comment
author

There will be pressure soon, since all the analysis that could be done is being on this platform now since it's been removed from other places. So it's an "educated" prediction based on what I expect will happen with respect to severity of the pandemic and the uncomfortable statistics that will be for all to see. Most probably individuals on this platform will point it out and it's going to lead to censorship much like Medium had to do in 2020.

It's because some awful truths will be discovered and it's not going to be pretty and to quell panic, all might be purged at the request of governments. However, we can avoid that by putting out material responsibly so that the worst can be averted. Let's see what happens with india's experiment with vaccinating kids and Israel's 4th dose. that should set the stage.

Expand full comment
Dec 24, 2021Liked by AlmostWrong

Brilliant! It took me ~25 seconds. I stumbled until I read the headline. I think I'll give this to my family as a Christmas present. If they bring this crap up, I'll request they take the test!

Expand full comment
author

Wow. That's fast! I bet your record won't be beaten by anyone jabbed anytime soon!

Also, what a brilliant idea to ask the family member to pass the test before criticizing anyone's health choice!

Expand full comment
Dec 25, 2021Liked by AlmostWrong

I didn't have to bring out the chart. My older brother who was covid crazy through most of this was questioning if my mother should get the booster which is progress. He's been following Europe fairly close and now believes the data that the jabs are not preventing infection/transmission and seems finally questioning the gaslighting.

The below Christmas poem, written by one of my distant relatives during the United State civil war, seems as true today as it did back then. You have to read the entire poem to grasp the references to the civil war.

I heard the bells on Christmas Day

Their old, familiar carols play,

And wild and sweet

The words repeat

Of peace on earth, good-will to men!

And thought how, as the day had come,

The belfries of all Christendom

Had rolled along

The unbroken song

Of peace on earth, good-will to men!

Till ringing, singing on its way,

The world revolved from night to day,

A voice, a chime,

A chant sublime

Of peace on earth, good-will to men!

Then from each black, accursed mouth

The cannon thundered in the South,

And with the sound

The carols drowned

Of peace on earth, good-will to men!

It was as if an earthquake rent

The hearth-stones of a continent,

And made forlorn

The households born

Of peace on earth, good-will to men!

And in despair I bowed my head;

"There is no peace on earth," I said;

"For hate is strong,

And mocks the song

Of peace on earth, good-will to men!"

Then pealed the bells more loud and deep:

"God is not dead, nor doth He sleep;

The Wrong shall fail,

The Right prevail,

With peace on earth, good-will to men."

Expand full comment
author

Beautiful. Utterly mesmerizing. What a time. What a place. Thank you for sharing a part of your life, a small part of future history.

Expand full comment
Dec 24, 2021Liked by AlmostWrong

Fabulous Almost Wrong!

Expand full comment
author

I seriously meant the question though, I'm really actually interested in finding out how people's health choices dominate their cognitive reflexes. I only half jokingly wrote the headline like that to get vaccinated interested but in reality I want the unvaccinated to actually worry about why can we see something that others are unable to see. Always scary to be living in a world where people inhabit the same reality but cannot tell one from the other.

Expand full comment
Dec 24, 2021Liked by AlmostWrong

Oh I know. How serious you are. I will think about this elegant illustration for a very long time. And I am so grateful for your efforts.

You showed your mastery of data in this seemingly little post. I will save it, keep it, and share it. Not possible to sky-write it.

Expand full comment
author

Thank you, it's a team sport. I've joined in late but trying to make up for lost time. We'll see if it works.

Expand full comment
Jan 14, 2022·edited Jan 14, 2022Liked by AlmostWrong

I'm confused. Is the "positive test rate" the fraction of tests that are positive? If so, one would expect that to be closer to being constant than wildly fluctuating, no? Is this post making the point that it is weird that not only is it wildly fluctuating, but also matches the other graphs?

Expand full comment
author

That's the interesting question!

Test positivity is a function of infection prevalence and testing capacity and deployment.

Yet, these two numerators and denominators always follow the same pattern as cases and tests and the unlabelled graph.

Which is vaccination rate :)

Expand full comment
Jan 3, 2022Liked by AlmostWrong

Would it be difficult to add a 5th or more graphs that show what the real graphs would look like if the jabs were "highly highly" effective? I assume "highly highly" effective is a real number because Mr Faucenstein "the science" uses it: https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/flip-flop-follies-facts-fiction-and

What I'm thinking is this might be a simple way to show people what the real graphs would have looked like if the jabs were say 100% effective (no infection, no transmission), 80%, etc. based on real numbers of fully jabbed. Basically, a way for people to graphically see these jabs are not "highly highly" effective.

Expand full comment
author

Probably there is a way! But it would involve knowing in advance

1) How people react to the falling infection rates (do they start making out on the street with random people vs being in a space suit in their basement before?)

2) How those reactions prime their immune system and what impact that has on the non-primed population on earth.

3) Since we can't jab everyone on earth at once yet, there is a theoretical chance for the virus to mutate to use an ever increasing pool of potential susceptibility (vaxxed).

So we can make a graph but the stronger our assumptions, the faster it will blow up. The better the vaccine at preventing infection, the closer it will resemble excess mortality.

Expand full comment
Dec 24, 2021Liked by AlmostWrong

Hospitalization rate??

Expand full comment
Dec 24, 2021Liked by AlmostWrong

I see below what it is.

Expand full comment
author

Vaccine Doses per million! :)

Expand full comment

Well i'm vaccinated but not boosted. I'd guess call casue mortality? or Hospitalization rate?

Expand full comment
author

😆 . Merry Christmas. It's vaccination rate. Surprising huh?!

Expand full comment
Dec 26, 2021Liked by AlmostWrong

I got it almost instantly, so I'll be hauled off to the camps soon.

But to be pedantic, does not the "vaccination rate" also include booster shots, which I think would be the main thing going on now in hyper-vaxxed Israel? (Which I think we should all refer to as "The People's Republic of Pfizer").

Expand full comment
author

"Daily COVID-19 vaccine doses administered per 100 people

Number of daily doses administered (7-day rolling average), divided by the total population of the country.

All doses, including boosters, are counted individually."

Yes it does!

And congratulations on being that quick, we will surely be roommates in the leper colonies of unvaccinated for the wrong think!

Expand full comment
Jan 10, 2022Liked by AlmostWrong

Lovely test. The M&M follows the vaxx rate fairly closely, I couldn't see the scale on the left side, and I didn't cheat by going to the original data.

Expand full comment
author

Winner!!

Expand full comment

This is hilarious, thank you so much. And clearly, a good diagnostic test is potentially problematic and should be screened at the highest bureacratic levels to make sure we don't violate important principles like medical confidentiality, patient-doctor trust and so on. I'll write to my representative to ask when they could listen to my concerns about it.

Expand full comment

bottom right looks like new cases in vaccinated people

Expand full comment

looks like it might be a count of experimental mass gene therapy WuCoof mRNA GMO transfection Jabs

Expand full comment
Comment deleted
Expand full comment
author

Yes! I haven't looked at it closely because I am working on something else but thank you for sharing! It's entirely expected!

Expand full comment
Comment deleted
Expand full comment
author

That was wonderful. Thanks for sharing.

"The mechanism for disseminating false "scientific" results is a general one. The Mainz and Freiburg residents who serve society's panic pattern appear in the media, those from Bochum do not. This media presence directs research funding. We are dealing here with a selection pressure that leaves honest and reliable research behind and at the same time rewards the careless dissemination of false sensational reports. This has not only existed since March 2020. In the case of Covid-19, however, the consequences for society are dramatic."

I think that we are caught in a trap where fake sensationalism gets headlines and actually getting a prediction or science wrong helps the virus survive and further allows the current "science" to fix a problem they created with their previous solution to a non-problem.

Expand full comment
Dec 24, 2021Liked by AlmostWrong

Out you come! That’s the point.

Expand full comment