No One At WHO Can Correctly Label "Treated" vs "Placebo" In This Vaccine Trial Result. Can Your Vaccinator?
almostwrong.substack.com
One of the many ‘Safe and Effective’ vaccines approved by the WHO is going to be mass deployed tomorrow in children 15-18 in India. Apparently the government has set a target of a 100 million vaccinations.
There is very little that I understand about how these things work but if I was a teen about to be jabbed, I’d challenge my parents, teachers, family doctor, GP to tell me if they can atleast label the primary data from the Vaccine trials.
Surely, this should be easy for anyone promoting the vaccine. WHO officials reading this must know the answer:
Hint: 68.8% Vaccine Efficacy against infection.
Placebo vs Vaccine. Choose.
Print this out and show it to their faces.
Did they label it right?
If yes, would they rather have been in the placebo group or the vaccine group?
If they wanted to be in the placebo group on day 28
Why on earth would they want others, especially children to be in the vaccinated group when they’d want to be in the placebo?
If they wanted to be in the vaccinated group, please ask them to explain why would they want to be in a group that had an apparent elevated risk of SARS-COV-2 Infection
If they have no answer, then ask them if they have ever considered the safety and efficacy of SARS-COV-2 infection to prevent future infections.
If they have an answer, please ask them:
if increasing susceptibilty to SARS-COV-2 infection is a viable strategy to prevent SARS-COV-2 infection, then what’s the point of trying to prevent SARS-COV-2 infection when more people died in the vaccine group trying to prevent it?
Finally ask them to compute Vaccine Efficacy using a pen and paper
Formula for VE= 1 - (Risk in Treatment Group/Risk in Placebo)
If no, ask them why do they feel qualified to recommend vaccination to children when they are not aware of the underlying treatment data
If they feel qualified regardless, then ask them if they have considered the hazards of onward transmission from successive vaccinations leading to population level suceptibilty.
If they feel very confident that vaccination is good for you and everyone else and especially deployed massively during high background infection rates, do they feel any responsiblity for checking if the results will be as expected?
What is their actual expectaction of successive rapid vaccinations in the same age group followed by vaccinations in vulnerable elderly in seven days?
If they have no expectations, then please point them to number of infections in vaccinated group and unvaccinated group.
Question: Why did the Indian Council For Medical Research(ICMR) share Vaccine Effectiveness results in this format in the middle of Pandemic hell last Summer?
India and Indian Medical Authorities were under the impression that 2 is better than 1. They proved this using this graphic that Indian print and digital media shared with the world showing them the vaccines were working.
If the vaccines are working…
Why do we need to present numbers in absolute risk?
Why is there decimal rounding hiding significant digits?
Why are the numeric separators missing from AstraZeneca (Covidshield) second doses? Appears to have been to disrupt mental math comparison while the visual was on TV.
If your vaccinator is still confused: Perform this computation for them.
First Dose to Second Dose Crude Vaccine Effectiveness = 1-(5014/15732754)/(17145/100302745) = -86% efficacy.
-86%
Vaccine Danger = 186% increase in cases if you repeat this several million times.
And what’s the observed Vaccine Effectiveness in the particular Vaccine you are being asked to take as a child in India?
First Dose To Second Dose Crude Vaccine Effectiveness = 1-(4208/9356436)/(695/1737178)=-.12
-12%
This is after the ((1-27/15)=-.73) from the first done in the Vaccine Efficacy Trial
So we get 73% increase according to the vaccine trials after 28 days and first dose. On the ground, we get 12% worse results from the second dose.
Question: If the vaccine trials show negative efficacy with first dose and crude vaccine effectiveness shows worsening performance after second dose, what would be a in your vaccinator’s opinion an objective measure of Vaccine Danger.
Be careful when you ask them this. The answer you want isn’t “Vaccine Failure” which is a measure of ineffectiveness of a treatment. You want to know from the geniuses running the show if such a measure exists at all in their paradigm where the treatment is not just failing but harming at with a clear danger to existing equilibrium and the herd’s immunity.
It’s obvious that 2 doses of Covaxin’s ability to neutralize Kappa (“immune evasive”) and 2 doses of Astrazeneca’s ability to neutralize Alpha created the space for Delta.
There would be no delta in the world if these mass vaccination campaigns did not take out the other variants keeping it in check.
Question: If it takes more than two doses to restore my current level of immunity without any doses, why should I be taking any doses when I cannot take more than two doses?
Question: If everyone knows all these problems and still doesn’t care, why should any child ever trust anything coming from “Health Authorities”?
Are they doing any better with vulnerable and elderly? If the vaccines protect the At Risk/Vulnerable from Covid and the vulnerable die before catching Covid, How are we protecting the vulnerable from Covid?
Everyone that knows these facts and kept silent while vulnerable people were repeatedly asked to take on extra risk while unvaccinated or the latest variant the vaccination promoted was being blamed will have to answer for it soon.
WHO please wake up? Are you confident we are not going to create a monster we cannot control? Just a few Mutations away?
"omicron RBM binding with human DPP-IV requests a smaller increase in free energy (ΔΔG: +3.66 kJ/mol) than that of omicron RBM binding with human ACE2 (ΔΔG: +5.93 kJ/mol) when taking the N417k exchange into account."
I can but only because I wrote an article on it when the results were released haha. Funny enough, this is the vaccine I trust the most because the trial was the most transparent (still don't trust it.... But I trust it the most)
Excellent!
Suggestions:
Your title does not do justice to your analysis. I suggest:
"Questions Children Should Ask Their Parents Re Vaccine Efficacy."
(I diss mixed pronouns!)
I have forwarded your post to my unrequited pen pal the NSW Australia Health Minister.
I can but only because I wrote an article on it when the results were released haha. Funny enough, this is the vaccine I trust the most because the trial was the most transparent (still don't trust it.... But I trust it the most)